Saturday, September 27, 2008

Reason to switch

Accidental Deliberations: Reason to switch

What's more, with more Lib voters willing to switch, there's also a
higher upside to their actually following through. If the NDP can carry
all of its current support plus the Libs and Greens who would be
willing to switch, then its support would reach 35.42%. In contrast,
the Libs' similar best-case scenario would be 33.95% of the vote.

With the Cons likely stuck with a relatively poorly distributed support
level in the mid to upper 30s, that point and a half could make the
difference in determining whether the Cons remain in power - or whether
a minority NDP government is able to start reversing the damage done by
Harper over the past two and a half years. Which means that for voters
who are inclined to vote based on stopping Harper, there's another
strong reason to make the NDP their choice.

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